If you believe the rest of the world, Australia will soon Spontaneously Combust

Today I was going to whinge about the “band-aid” approach the Australian governement is adopting to control binge drinking. They’ve decided to raise the tax on AlcoPops or RTD (Ready To Drink) beverages such as pre-mixed bundy and coke and and UDL’s.

However, I’ve found something much more interesting, for me anyway. Over at the Winebiz Daliy News, Richart Smart, the well know Australian and international viticulturist has challenged a recent study by Berry Bros in the UK that by 2058, Australia will be too hot and dry to support large areas of vineyards. Dr Smart has made many observations to the contrary, including the prediction that Europeans will actually be effected more than Australia due to climate change. Australia will also have more opportunities to adapt by using drought resistant grape varieties and genetically modified grapevines, and have the opportunity to move it’s grape growing operations to other parts of the country.

I agree with all of Dr Smarts observations, and who am I to disagree with a guy of his experience and knowledge. But to me this is just another case of academics, or bureaucrats making assumptions and predictions based on numbers, and I would hazard a guess that they have haven’t even been to many of Australias grape growing regions, let alone potentially unexplored grape growing regions. We spent a couple of years travelling the world in 06/07, and when talking to folks about Australia who have never been, there is the overwhelming perception that all of Australia is a desert. True, much of it is, but the country is huge, and there are vast areas of extremely productive agricutlural land where no grapes have ever been grown. If you’ve even travelled between Albany and Esperance in Western Australia, you’ll understand what I mean, and similarily all along the east coast of Australia.

I grew up in Warragul, about 100 km east of Melbounre in the Gippsland region. Gippsland is 600 km long and 200km wide, and there are some awesome vineyards. Warragul is one of the wettest places in the country. I also lived in the South-West of WA for 6 years and water pours out of the ground all year round. The locals can’t understand the concept of a drought. There are huge areas of land available to plant grapes. My point is that even if Australia continues to get hotter and drier, there are many, many alternatives to plant vast areas of vineyards, that I would guess, will not lack water or sunshine, at least for the next few hundred years.

It’s true that many agricultural regions of Australia are struggling due to lack of water, but many of these areas were always on the edge, and a slight change in climate was always going to have a dramatic effect. Many agricultural sectors are not only struggling for the lack of water, but inflation has increased the cost of production so much that farmers can’t make a living. What is it going to take for city dwellers to realise that what they eat, day in day out, comes out of the ground. That’s a generalisation I know, but it infuriates me that some people just don’t understand.

In any case, I find it amusing that a study conducted in the UK, based on ill informed assumptions, can predict that Australia wont be able to grow grapes by 2058.

Let’s hope it doesn’t harm the perception or future of Australian wine globally, as reports like this can be destructive if the perception is false.

About the Author

Jono

Jono has been involved in the wine industry since he was quite young. His parents had a small vineyard and winery in the Gippsland region of Victoria, Australia, and spent plenty of school holidays working in the vineyard and winery. He completed a Bachelor of Agricultural Science (Oenology) from the University of Adelaide (formely the Roseworthy Agricultural College). He also holds a Post Graduate Degree in Business Management from Monash University. His wine industry experience include working as a winemaker for Petaluma in the Adelaide Hills under the legendary Brian Croser. He was then sent to Smithbrook in the Pemberton region of Western Australia, then owned by Petaluma. He spent 6 years at Smithbrook managing the vineyard and winery, and during that time also completed a vintage at Chateau Carsin in Bordeaux. The two years leading into 2008, he traveled the world with his partner sampling the worlds best wines, and also fulfilling his other passion of equestrian competition.

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